Seattle’s budget is precariously balanced, faces long-term problems
Seattle News:
First off, we’re officially in budget season! Both Mayor Bruce Harrell’s proposed Seattle budget for 2026 and Executive Shannon Braddock’s proposed King County budget for 2026-2027 were introduced on Tuesday.
I wrote an overview of the Seattle budget, which covers a lot of ground. Once again, the Seattle Police Department (SPD) was the clear winner, with the largest budgetary increase of any City department.
And for those of you who remember that pesky budget deficit, Harrell managed to avoid having to make large cuts and layoffs by continuing to transfer the JumpStart payroll tax into the General Fund and getting behind two new revenue sources: the retool of the B&O tax championed by Councilmember Alexis Mercedes Rinck and a new 0.1% public safety sales tax.
Harrell got very lucky in that the most recent city revenue forecast was decidedly better than the one earlier this year. He would have also been in trouble if it weren’t for Rinck’s B&O tax proposal, which explains why he got behind a new progressive revenue source for the first time in his mayoral term.
However, that revenue forecast is very uncertain, and it’s quite possible the next forecast, due October 20, will be significantly worse. Happily for Harrell, that will be the city council’s problem and his hands will remain relatively clean for his reelection campaign.
King County has already passed its own 0.1% public safety tax, which is singlehandedly saving the county from its own large deficit.
Speaking of SPD, ICE is launching a new advertisement campaign to recruit Seattle law enforcement. They’re offering hiring bonuses and student loan forgiveness to entice candidates, while telling them they’ll be working to detain illegal immigrants who have committed crimes. However, here in Washington State, 60% of those currently in detention have no criminal record, while others have minor infringements only like traffic violations.
I dived into Seattle’s new AI Policy so you wouldn’t have to. Somehow I survived the many buzzwords and learned about the 42 AI pilots the City of Seattle has conducted so far. I covered several concerns, but I think one of the most interesting things I discovered is SPD’s potential interest in diving into the world of AI-generated predictive policing.
Relatedly, PubliCola reported on an Office of Police Accountability (OPA) complaint from a community member who used an AI-detecting tool that found several public-facing communications from SPD (blog posts and a statement from the new police chief) appeared to be completely or partially written by AI.
As I reported at The Urbanist, on October 8, the Seattle Public Schools school board is set to vote on whether Garfield High School will have a “Student Enforcement Officer” (SEO) pilot program this school year. They were supposed to vote on this pilot during their September meeting, but board director Joe Mizrahi asked for a postponement while he works on an amendment.
Washington State News:
In July, Cascade PBS reported that Governor Bob Ferguson has the lowest six-month approval rating of any Washington State governor since 1993.
And things aren’t slated to get any easier for Ferguson. Out this week, the most recent state revenue estimate has gotten worse. Revenues are expected to drop another $889 million over the next four years. Lawmakers will grapple to rebalance the state’s 2026 budget during the short legislative session early next year.
Local Media:
Earlier this week, Seattle’s Cascade PBS station announced it’s laying off most of its newsroom staff and discontinuing production of local long-form journalism. This is a huge blow to local journalism in the Puget Sound area, and to be honest, I’m still reeling. You can donate to the laid off journalists here.
The cancellation of Cascade PBS’s local coverage comes the same year we’ve seen a large shift over at The Stranger, which appears to have changed its focus to covering local arts and culture at the expense of covering as much local news as in the past. Certainly from my perspective, as a local reporter covering the public safety beat, the sudden lack of a criminal justice reporter at The Stranger has left a huge void in what gets covered.
Mayoral candidate Katie Wilson has been promoting her Local News Dollars program that would provide public funding to small local media outlets, which gives me some hope for the future. But in the meantime, now would be a good time to donate to those outlets that still exist, including PubliCola, The Urbanist, the South Seattle Emerald, and Real Change.
I suppose I should also mention that you can support Notes from the Emerald City and my work through my Patreon.
Recent Headlines:
- Seattle police chief ready to support officer at Garfield High
- King County Council bans rent-setting software, like RealPage
- MLK Labor pivots to dual Harrell, Wilson endorsement for mayor
- In Little Saigon, Pop-Up Clinics Connect People With Opioid Treatment Medication
- “Worse than a cover up”: Roger Wright demands accountability from Seattle
- Mayor Harrell announces funding to address gun violence in Seattle
- King County Council Frontrunner Peter Kwon Averse to Taxes, Bold Plans
- Steffanie Fain Makes Pragmatic Moderate Pitch for King County Council D5
- Op-Ed: Will Ethics Commission Hold Harrell Accountable for Campaigning with Public Resources?
- Harrell’s campaign consultant got special access to City Hall this year
- Has ICE renewed Tacoma detention center contract? It won’t say
- DOJ is sharing state voter roll lists with Homeland Security
- ‘Supporting safety, not discipline’ — Seattle School Board considers returning campus cop to Garfield High School
- In police youth program, abuse often starts when officers are alone with teens in cars
- WA lawmakers faced with $570M decision on surging lawsuit payouts
- WA will replace Planned Parenthood’s lost Medicaid funding with state dollars
- Plan for new juvenile detention center in Pierce County pitched for next WA budget
- Advocates call for audit of Washington state agencies to protect immigrant data privacy
- Comcast lawsuit argues new Washington tax on advertising is illegal
- WA health inspectors on cusp of gaining access to Tacoma immigrant detention center
- Google Secretly Handed ICE Data About Pro-Palestine Student Activist
- DivestSPD: No discipline for cop who Tasered, injured fleeing man
- DivestSPD: Seattle problem cop suspended for illegal stop-and-frisk of Black youth
- The FBI Will Likely Report The Lowest Murder Rate Ever Recorded In 2025
- Safer Cities: Three Things to Read This Week
- Safer Cities: Three Things to Read This Week
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